Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 0.003395 0.003563 0.003735 0.003924 0.004126 0.004337 0.004572
2025-05-04 0.003073 0.003320 0.003583 0.003884 0.004221 0.004587 0.005017
2025-05-11 0.002873 0.003165 0.003484 0.003859 0.004292 0.004779 0.005370
2025-05-18 0.002718 0.003039 0.003398 0.003831 0.004342 0.004932 0.005671
2025-05-25 0.002642 0.002996 0.003397 0.003892 0.004490 0.005198 0.006109
2025-06-01 0.002539 0.002911 0.003341 0.003879 0.004544 0.005347 0.006406
2025-06-08 0.002438 0.002823 0.003274 0.003848 0.004568 0.005455 0.006651
2025-06-15 0.002333 0.002724 0.003188 0.003786 0.004548 0.005502 0.006816
2025-06-22 0.002242 0.002639 0.003114 0.003734 0.004536 0.005556 0.006988
2025-06-29 0.002185 0.002592 0.003085 0.003736 0.004590 0.005697 0.007279
2025-07-06 0.002080 0.002481 0.002972 0.003626 0.004493 0.005629 0.007278
2025-07-13 0.002035 0.002444 0.002948 0.003630 0.004545 0.005762 0.007562
2025-07-20 0.002012 0.002435 0.002962 0.003683 0.004665 0.005995 0.008003
2025-07-27 0.001952 0.002376 0.002909 0.003646 0.004661 0.006055 0.008194
2025-08-03 0.001901 0.002328 0.002869 0.003623 0.004674 0.006138 0.008422
2025-08-10 0.001853 0.002281 0.002828 0.003597 0.004682 0.006211 0.008637
2025-08-17 0.001839 0.002279 0.002846 0.003653 0.004806 0.006458 0.009133
2025-08-24 0.001801 0.002243 0.002817 0.003641 0.004832 0.006561 0.009406
2025-08-31 0.001758 0.002199 0.002777 0.003612 0.004832 0.006622 0.009614
2025-09-07 0.001706 0.002143 0.002718 0.003555 0.004787 0.006613 0.009706
2025-09-14 0.001661 0.002094 0.002668 0.003508 0.004754 0.006621 0.009824
2025-09-21 0.001635 0.002071 0.002652 0.003510 0.004795 0.006745 0.010143
2025-09-28 0.001574 0.001999 0.002566 0.003408 0.004676 0.006612 0.010014